But in the price-tracking data, the evidence is much more uneven. April’s inflation reports — measuring consumer and producer prices — showed the early imprint of tariffs. Goods most exposed to the levies, like furniture and audio equipment, became more expensive.

Melissa Brown, managing director of investment decision research at SimCorp, says "investors are not placing enough emphasis on the inflation environment," and expects higher prices "over the next couple of months.

Where is all the inflation that was supposed to arise from the Trump tariffs? So far there’s hardly been any whiff of big price increases. Just wait, economists insist. It’s coming.