Dems cross the Valley of Redistricting, build your own Senate model, next steps for the realignment, another Midwest polling ...

It was a few weeks ago that I wrote that polling over the summer hasn’t predicted the last few elections very well, overestimating Democrats. If we were to run an apples to apples comparison of data ...

Today, the country marks the 25th anniversary of the September 11, 2001 attacks. The pictures of that day bring back the fear Americans felt in the days and weeks that followed. But out of that fear ...

If you’ve ever watched a BBC election broadcast, you’ve seen its legendary Swingometer, moving the dial until one party or the other took control of Parliament. It tried to answer a simple question: ...

A couple of weeks ago, I laid out the case for why the polls may be overstating Democrats again. That point coexists with the fact that this should be a pretty bad election cycle for Republicans. The ...

As the data center debate reaches escape velocity, there’s a question of what’s really driving opposition: is it just the “physical manifestation of AI” or more localized concerns about water usage or ...

In a week, we’ve gone from inaccurate polls to completely fabricated ones. “Median Strategies,” which got its “polls” reported by major media outlets and cited by campaigns, was revealed to be a ...

Current polling looks good for Democrats in many red states they’d need to flip control of the chamber. That includes a recent Fox News poll that puts Sherrod Brown up 8 in the Ohio Senate race or a ...

It’s a theme that we’ve returned to again and again: only a handful of seats will decide control of Congress and with this year’s re-redistricting, districts have been purposefully engineered to ...

There are some numbers in the last couple of months of Echelon Insights polling I think are worth calling out. The first come from our annual Political Tribes survey, which show voters leaning ...

Echelon Insights’s 2026 Political Tribes came out yesterday. Built on answers to questions about social issues, economic issues, and trust in institutions, the tribes have been updated for 2026. The ...

Remember the resistance? These were the people who during Trump 1.0 marched in pink hats in the shape of reproductive organs and lit Robert Mueller prayer candles. To them, democracy versus ...