J ust ahead of the most dangerous stretch of hurricane season, the federal government has quietly shut off a key stream of ...

The formation phase is actually the hardest part of hurricane forecasting. The necessary ingredients for forming a tropical cyclone are: 1) a warm body of water; and 2) small vertical wind shear.

Concerns are rising over the accuracy of hurricane forecasts this year due to staffing and budget cuts at the National ...

It’s clear that hurricane forecasts have dramatically improved, even if there are still frontiers ahead. But it’s harder to gauge how these advances have affected human communities.

There were 347 tropical cyclone forecasts made by the NHC in 2024 and the mean track errors at every forecast interval broke ...

Probabilistic forecasts are crucial, but communicating such forecasts is a big challenge." Another challenge is forecasting the intensity of a hurricane, which has only seen slight improvements.

Many challenges remain. Before the new version released this year, previous versions displayed only tropical storm and hurricane alerts in effect along the coast. November 13, 2024 ...

Florida hurricane threat reveals forecasting challenges in social media era. ... The Hurricane Center is giving Invest 99L a 60 percent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone within the next 5 days.

The National Hurricane Center Monday released preliminary highlights from its post-season analysis of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, showing forecasters made big strides in track forecast ...

The hurricane center issued 347 forecasts in the Atlantic in 2024, which it said was slightly above the long-term (1990-2023) average of about 325 forecasts. Those forecasts were record-breaking ...